15% of AI doctorate holders from 2010 to 2016 founded or led a company or lab by 10 years after graduation

People with a dated, completed doctorate
1,372
Founded or led by 10 years after doctorate, 2010s (to 2016)
15%
Same, 1960s
0%

How often do AI doctorate holders go on to found or lead a company or lab? We estimate that 15% of those with doctorates from 2010 to 2016 had reached such a role by 10 years after graduation.

Key findings

  • For doctorates from 2010 to 2016, 24 of 158 people (15%) reached a founder or top role by 10 years after the doctorate.
  • The corresponding estimate for the 1960s cohort is 0% (0 of 60 people).
  • Across all dated doctorate holders, 7 people had reached such a role before the doctorate.

How the share changed

We count the first dated founding or top role at a company or lab. Top roles include chief executive, chief scientist and lab director. We exclude unfinished doctorates, use the earliest dated completed doctorate and show cohorts with at least 20 people.

The 2010s have the highest share among the cohorts shown: 24 of 158 peopleShare of people in each doctorate decade who had founded or taken a top role at a company or lab by 10 years after the doctorate. Roles before the doctorate count. Doctorates after 2016 are left out. First role: founderFirst role: top job

Bars for 6 decades of doctorates, from the 1960s to the 2010s, with the share who had founded or led a company or lab by 10 years after the doctorate.

Source: People of Superintelligence career records from biographies and OpenAlex, as of 15 October 2026. Doctorate year: the recorded end year of a completed doctorate, with cited biography evidence.

Data table
Doctorate decadePeopleFounded firstTop job firstShare
1960s60000%
1970s127403%
1980s2221036%
1990s343813%
2000s3341535%
2010s (to 2016)15821315%

We give each person at least 10 years of follow-up. In the cohorts shown, 1,176 of 1,244 people have no recorded founder or top role by that point. Among the 68 who reached one, 58 first entered as founders (85%).

Founders may enter our data because they started a well-known company, which can raise recent cohorts' shares.

How long the wait was

We also record 129 people in these same cohorts whose first founder or top role came more than 10 years after the doctorate. How long did it take among those who reached a role from the doctorate year on?

The median wait fell from 20.5 years for doctorates from the 1970s to 6 for the 2010sYears from the doctorate to the first founder or top role, for the 201 people in these decades who reached one. Each dot is a person; the line is the median. Roles taken before the doctorate and decades with fewer than 5 such people are left out. Recent decades have had less time, so their long waits are missing.

Dots for each person by decade of doctorate and years to the first founder or top role.

Source: People of Superintelligence career records from biographies and OpenAlex, as of 15 October 2026.

Data table
PersonDoctorateFirst roleYearsOrganizationRole
Herbert Freeman1956199741MapTextFounder
Joseph Mundy1969201142Vision Systems IncorporationFounder
Ross Overbeek1971199827Integrated Genomics, Inc.Founder
John R. Koza197219731Scientific Games Inc.Founder
Chuck Rieger1974198410Vidar SystemsFounder
Josef Kittler1974200127OmniPerception LtdFounder
Robert Hecht-Nielsen1974198612HNC SoftwareFounder
Janet Baker197519827Dragon SystemsFounder
John V. Guttag1975201540Health at ScaleFounder
Lin-shan Lee1977199114Academia SinicaDirector
Reid G. Smith1978201436i2k ConnectChief Executive
Jerry Kaplan197919812TeknowledgeFounder
Narendra Ahuja1979201334Information Technology Research AcademyFounder
Salvatore J Stolfo1979201132Red Balloon SecurityFounder
Hans Moravec1980200323Seegrid CorporationFounder
Maria Petrou1981200928Centre for Research and Technology HellasDirector
Nicolas Gisin1981200322ID QuantiqueFounder
Norman Fenton1981199817Agena LtdFounder
Rainer Blatt1981201837Alpine Quantum TechnologiesFounder
Richard P. Gabriel198119843Lucid, IncorporatedFounder
Rodney A. Brooks198119909iRobotFounder
Zbigniew Michalewicz1981200524SolveIT SoftwareFounder
Michel Devoret1982199513CEA SaclayDirector of research
Mikhail J. Atallah1982200119Arxan TechnologiesFounder
Rachid Deriche1982199816RealvizFounder
David E. Goldberg1983201027ThreeJoy AssociatesFounder
Mark S. Fox198319841Carnegie GroupFounder
Liang Mong Song1984201733Semiconductor Manufacturing International CorporationCo-CEO and Executive Director
Shafi Goldwasser1984201632Duality TechnologiesFounder
C.C. Wei1985201833Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing CompanyChief Executive
Ivar Jacobson198519872Objective SystemsFounder
Robert L. Grossman1985199611Magnify, Inc.Founder
Alex Waibel198619915C-STARFounder
Gunilla Borgefors198619893National Defence Research EstablishmentDirector of Research
Hugh Durrant-Whyte1986201024National ICT AustraliaCEO
Kai Li1986200115Data DomainFounder
Bernd Girod198719936Vivo SoftwareFounder
Carol Espy-Wilson1987201427OmniSpeechFounder
Isabel Trancoso198719903Instituto de Engenharia de Sistemas e ComputadoresFounder
John M. Martinis1987202235QolabFounder
Leonid Rudin198719881CogniTechFounder
Peter Lee1987201023Microsoft ResearchManaging Director
Vijay Kumar1987201730Exyn TechnologiesFounder
Daniel S. Weld198819968NetbotFounder
Isabelle Guyon198819968CoplinetFounder
Jerry L. Prince1988200214DiagnosoftFounder
Stephane Mallat1988200113Let It WaveFounder
Andreas Dengel198919934DFKIScientific Director
Emmanuel Dupoux198919989Laboratory of Cognitive Sciences and PsycholinguisticsDirector
Fakhreddine Karray1989201829YourikaFounder
Gerhard Brewka1989200819European Coordinating Committee for Artificial IntelligencePresident
Qiang Yang1989201223HuaweiFounding Director
Roland Siegwart1989201829Sevensense RoboticsFounder
Alex Acero1990201323AppleSiri Chief Scientist
Ben Goertzel1990201727Hanson RoboticsChief Scientist
H. Sebastian Seung1990202030SamsungPresident
Haizhou Li1990200313Science and Engineering Research CouncilPrincipal Scientist and Research Director
Kenneth Richard Koedinger199019988Carnegie LearningFounder
Marco Gori1990202636UNaIVERSEFounder
Ulrike Tillmann1990202131Isaac Newton InstituteDirector
Zhengyou Zhang1990201929TencentChief Scientist
Ming Zhou1991202130LangboatFounder
Adam Kilgarriff1992200311Lexical ComputingFounder
Craig Boutilier1992201220Granata Decision SystemsFounder
David B. Fogel199219931Natural SelectionFounder
Michael Black1992201321Body LabsFounder
Alon Halevy1993201522Megagon LabsChief Executive
Amnon Shashua199319996MobileyeFounder
David Doermann199320018Applied Media AnalysisFounder
Gary Marcus1993201421Geometric IntelligenceFounder
Samy Bengio199319963Microcell LabsResearch director
Vivek Raghavan1993200916MagmaManaging Director, India operations
Alberto Broggi1994200915VisLabFounder
Catholijn Jonker1994201319National Network Female Professors in the NetherlandsPresident
Gary R. Bradski1994202531Bonsai RoboticsChief Science Officer
Ian Bremmer199419984Eurasia GroupFounder
Lisa Su1994201420Advanced Micro DevicesPresident and CEO
Paul Viola1995201419HighspotChief scientist
Shrikanth Narayanan1995201318Behavioral InformatixFounder
Steven M. LaValle1995201318MetaChief Scientist
Zoubin Ghahramani1995201722UberChief Scientist
Amit Singhal1996202630One 97 CommunicationsNon-executive Director
Anne-Marie Kermarrec1996201519MediegoFounder
Diego Calvanese1996201721NOI TechparkDirector
Martin Riedmiller1996201014CognitFounder
Xiaoou Tang1996201418SensetimeFounder
Daniel A. Lidar1997202326Quantum ElementsFounder
Hany Farid1997202427GetReal SecurityFounder
Rémi Munos1997201821Google DeepMindDirector
Tamara Kolda1997202124MathSci.aiFounder
Wei-Ying Ma1997202124Beijing Academy of Artificial IntelligenceDirector
Wiro Niessen1997201215QuantibFounder
Doug Burger1998202325Microsoft ResearchManaging Director
Hang Li1998201719ByteDanceDirector
Peter H. Stone1998201517CogitaiFounder
Trevor Blackwell199820013AnybotsFounder
Yoky Matsuoka1998201719NestChief Technology Officer
Alessio R. Lomuscio1999202122Safe IntelligenceFounder
Ayanna Howard1999201314ZyroboticsFounder
Deb Roy199920089Bluefin LabsFounder
Eric Poe Xing1999201617PetuumFounder
Ping Koy Lam199920089QuintessenceLabsFounder
Yong Rui1999202425Lenovo GroupPresident
Anton van den Hengel2000201919AmazonChief Scientist
Doina Precup2000201616AI4Good LabFounder
Gal Kaminka2000201616BladeRangerFounder
Giancarlo Fortino2000201010SenSysCalFounder
Ion Stoica200020066ConvivaFounder
James Kuffner2000201616Toyota Research InstituteChief Technology Officer
Li Juanzi2000201919Zhipu AIFounder
Nick Bostrom200020055Future of Humanity InstituteDirector
Nikos Paragios2000201717TheraPanaceaFounder
Paul Newman2000201414OxaFounder
Latanya Sweeney20011981-20software consulting companyFounder
Lidong Zhou2001202120Microsoft ResearchManaging Director
Maja Pantic2001201817SamsungResearch Director
Salil Prabhakar2001201110Delta IDFounder
Aggelos Kiayias2002201715IOHKChief Scientist
Alex Karp200220031PalantirFounder
Dawn Song2002201816Oasis LabsFounder
Elena García Armada2002201311Marsi BionicsFounder
Erik Learned-Miller20021989-13CORITechsFounder
Qi Tian2002201816HuaweiChief Scientist
Yuval Noah Harari2002201917SapienshipFounder
Bowen Zhou2003202118Frontis.aiFounder
C. Lawrence Zitnick2003202522FAIR (Meta)Research Director
Darío Gil2003201916IBM ResearchDirector
Kevin Scott2003201714MicrosoftCTO
Brent Waters2004202218NTT ResearchDirector
Jiaya Jia2004201915SmartMoreFounder
Jingren Zhou2004202218AlibabaCTO
Kenneth Stanley2004201511Geometric IntelligenceFounder
Marcello Restelli2004202016ML cubeFounder
Barbara Caputo2005201914European Laboratory for Learning and Intelligent SystemsFounder
Cédric Archambeau200520138AmazonChief Scientist
Christian Szegedy2005202520Morph LabsChief Scientist
Christian Theobalt2005202116Max Planck Institute for InformaticsScientific Director
Jongwoo Lim2005202015MultiplEYEFounder
Fei-Fei Li2005202419World LabsFounder
Navneet Dalal200520105FlutterFounder
Aaron C. Courville2006202519IVADOInterim scientific director
Ali Ghodsi200620137DatabricksFounder
Björn Schuller200620126audEERINGFounder
Gang Hua2006201812Convenience BeeChief Technology Officer
Kristen Grauman2006201812FAIR (Meta)Research Director
Raquel Urtasun2006201711UberChief Scientist and Head of R&D
Ryan McDonald2006202115ASAPPChief Scientist
Shuo Li200620060Digital Imaging Group of LondonFounder
Tao Mei2006202317HiDream.aiFounder
Jaime Teevan2007201811MicrosoftChief Scientist
Jamie Shotton2007202114WayveChief Scientist
Jeff Leek2007202518Cancer AI AllianceScientific director
Jingdong Wang2007202114BaiduChief Scientist for Computer Vision
Piotr Dollár200720125Anchovi LabsFounder
Roberto Navigli200720169BabelscapeFounder
Shai Shalev-Shwartz2007202215Mentee RoboticsFounder
Andrew Rabinovich2008202012HeadroomFounder
Davide Scaramuzza200820157Zurich-EyeFounder
Kyogu Lee2008202012SupertoneFounder
Ziad Obermeyer2008202315Dandelion HealthFounder
Ashutosh Saxena200920156Brain of ThingsFounder
Gjergji Kasneci200920178SCHUFA Holding AGChief Technology Officer
Demis Hassabis200920101Google DeepMindFounder
Marc Deisenroth2009202516Google DeepMindResearch Director
Ruslan Salakhutdinov2009202617SoothFounder
Aniruddha Kembhavi2010202414WayveDirector
Antoine Bordes201020177MetaDirector
Dhruv Batra2010202515YutoriFounder
Ece Kamar2010202616TuringChief Technology Officer
Zico Kolter201020199Robert BoschChief Scientist of AI Research
Ali Farhadi201120176Xnor.aiFounder
Lubomir Bourdev201120165WaveOneFounder
Sami Haddadin201120176FRANKA EMIKAFounder
Vijay Vasudevan2011202312MintMCPFounder
Wei Dong201120143Ann Arbor AlgorithmsFounder
Marc Bellemare2012202311Reliant AIFounder
Chris Gibson201320130RecursionFounder
Edward Grefenstette201320141Dark Blue LabsFounder
Pierre Sermanet2013202512UMAChief science officer
Radu Timofte2013202613ELLIS Unit FranconiaDirector
Bernardino Romera-Paredes2014202511HivergeFounder
Han Hu2014202612Winverse AIFounder
Laurent Sifre201420239H CompanyFounder
Luca Oneto201420184ZenaByteFounder
Moustapha Cissé201420239Kera Health PlatformsFounder
Pratyush Kumar201420195AI4BharatFounder
Richard Socher201420140MetaMindFounder
Sergey Karayev201420140GradescopeFounder
Ashish Vaswani201420228AdeptFounder
Ce Zhang201520227Together AIFounder
Stefano Ermon201520194Atlas AIFounder
Yan Junjie201520216MiniMaxFounder
Animesh Garg201620248ApptronikChief Scientist
Georg Kucsko201620226SunoFounder
Iz Beltagy201620237Spiffy AIFounder
John Schulman201620259Thinking Machines LabFounder
Shaoqing Ren201620160MomentaFounder
Thang Luong201620182VietAIFounder
Alex Kendall201720170WayveFounder
Diederik P. Kingma20172010-7AdvanzaFounder
Ji Zhang20172015-2KaartaFounder
Sam McCandlish201720214AnthropicFounder
Brian Ichter201820246Physical IntelligenceFounder
Robert Nishihara201920190AnyscaleFounder
Sam Rodriques201920234FutureHouseFounder
Simon Kohl201920234Latent LabsFounder
Yang Zhilin20192016-3Recurrent AIFounder
Yi Tay201920234Reka AIFounder
Hao Zhang202020233LMSYS OrgFounder
Maithra Raghu202020222Samaya AIFounder
Aravind Srinivas202120221PerplexityFounder
Kiana Ehsani202120254VerceptFounder
Daniel Levy202220242Safe SuperintelligenceFounder
Jaime Sevilla20222021-1Observatory of Global Catastrophic RisksFounder
Shengjia Zhao202220253Meta Superintelligence LabsFounder
Alexander Meinke202320230Apollo ResearchHead of Research
Tri Dao202320230Together AIChief Scientist
Chinasa T. Okolo202420251TechnēculturǎFounder
Zhang Peng20252019-6Zhipu AIFounder

Recent cohorts have had less time to reach a role after a long wait. This can lower their observed median. The 10-year share gives each cohort a common cutoff.

Recent short paths

People with the most recent doctorates who founded or led a company or lab within 2 years:

Career data comes from the biographies on this site and from OpenAlex author records, as of 15 October 2026. People whose OpenAlex record may be incomplete or mixed are left out of citation figures.