Carl Shulman

Carl Shulman is an AI researcher whose work examines AI risk, decision theory and the economics of advanced AI. In 2010, he and Anders Sandberg published an argument about a software-limited singularity; he was a MIRI research fellow in 2011, left MIRI in August 2013 to study computer science, and contributed to the FHI report Racing to the Precipice. By 2021, he was a research associate at Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute, publishing on AI risk and decision theory and consulting for Open Philanthropy. In 2023 and 2024, he outlined AI takeover scenarios and discussed how cheap superhuman AGI could change work, growth, national security and daily life; he studied philosophy at the University of Toronto and Harvard, then law at NYU. As of October 2026, he co-manages Situational Awareness LP, a hedge fund founded in 2024 with an AGI-focused thesis and a strategy spanning public equities, semiconductor companies and energy infrastructure.

Now at: Future of Humanity Institute and Situational Awareness LP
Badges: Bridge

Timeline

2010

A software-limited singularity

In 2010, he and Anders Sandberg publish Implications of a software-limited singularity, arguing that inexpensive human-level processing power could allow software for human-level and superhuman AI to develop within two decades.
2011

Research fellow at MIRI

In 2011, he is a MIRI research fellow who works on research projects and collaborates with researchers at Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute.
2013

Leaving MIRI for computer science

In 2013, he is a MIRI research fellow and participates in a recorded conversation on effective altruism and flow-through effects. At the end of August 2013, he leaves MIRI to study computer science.
November 2013

Racing to the Precipice

In November 2013, he contributes to FHI's technical report Racing to the Precipice, which models an AI arms race where teams may skimp on safety precautions to finish first.
By 2021

Oxford research associate

By 2021, he is a research associate at Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute, a role he has held since 2012. He publishes on AI risks and decision theory and consults for Open Philanthropy.
June 2023

AI takeover scenarios

In June 2023, he outlines AI takeover scenarios involving bioweapons, cyberattacks on physical infrastructure, mechanical armies, and seed AIs that humans cannot exterminate.
June 2024

Economics after cheap AGI

In June 2024, he discusses how cheap superhuman AGI could change work, economic growth, national security and daily life. His education includes philosophy at the University of Toronto and Harvard, followed by law at NYU.
As of October 2026

Co-managing an AGI fund

As of October 2026, he co-manages Situational Awareness LP, a hedge fund founded in 2024 with an AGI-focused thesis and a strategy spanning public equities, semiconductor companies and energy infrastructure.