Researcher

Anton Korinek

Anton Korinek is an economist who studies how transformative AI could affect economic growth, work, and inequality. After working in IT and finance, he earned an economics PhD at Columbia in 2007 and held positions at Maryland and Johns Hopkins before joining UVA in 2018. He shifted his research toward AI in 2015, wrote about the future of work in 2022, and published work on generative AI and AGI economics in 2023 and 2024. In 2025, he launched UVA's Economics of Transformative AI Initiative, joined Anthropic's Economic Advisory Council, and was named to TIME100 AI. In 2026, he coauthored a paper on AI's economic scenarios; since February 2026, he has been a PIIE nonresident senior fellow, and since May 2026 he leads Transformative AI Economic Studies at Anthropic Institute while on leave from UVA.

Now at
Peterson Institute for International Economics, Anthropic and University of Virginia
Works
196
Citations
6,988
h-index
42

Publication numbers from OpenAlex, as of 14 October 2026.

Photo of Anton Korinek

Timeline

  1. 2007

    A Columbia economics PhD

    After several years of work in IT and finance, he earns a PhD in economics from Columbia in 2007.

  2. 2015

    Turning to AI economics

    In 2015, he shifts his research focus from financial crises to AI's economic implications.

  3. 2018

    Joining UVA Darden

    In 2018, he joins UVA's Economics Department and Darden as an associate professor from Johns Hopkins. His earlier career also includes work at the University of Maryland.

  4. 2022

    Preparing for future work

    In August 2022, he and Megan Juelfs publish “Preparing for the (Non-Existent?) Future of Work,” a Brookings paper about preparing institutions for autonomous machines that could replace human labor and lower wages.

  5. 2023–2024

    Generative AI and AGI

    In December 2023, he publishes “Generative AI for Economic Research: Use Cases and Implications for Economists,” which surveys ways large language models can help economists with research. In March 2024, he and Donghyun Suh publish “Scenarios for the Transition to AGI,” analyzing how different paths to artificial general intelligence affect output and wages.

  6. 2025

    TIME100 AI and EconTAI

    In 2025, he launches UVA's Economics of Transformative AI Initiative and is named to TIME's TIME100 AI list. In June 2025, he joins Anthropic's Economic Advisory Council to advise on AI's economic and labor-market effects.

  7. Since February 2026

    Leading Anthropic's AI economics

    In February 2026, he becomes a nonresident senior fellow at PIIE, and in May 2026 he joins Anthropic's Economic Research team on educational leave from UVA to lead work on transformative AI's economic effects. In September 2026, he coauthors the Anthropic Institute working paper “Economic Scenarios of Transformative AI,” which maps AI capability paths to GDP, wages, and employment. He leads Transformative AI Economic Studies at the Anthropic Institute.

Sources and credits

Photo: Xuthoria, via Wikimedia Commons. License: CC BY-SA 4.0. Source: commons.wikimedia.org. Cropped to a square and resized. Ask us to remove or replace this photo.

  1. Homepage of Anton Korinek korinek.com. Checked 14 October 2026.
  2. One Economist’s Case for Taking AI Seriously news.research.virginia.edu. Checked 14 October 2026.
  3. UVA Darden Welcomes Eight New Professors for 2018-19 Academic Year news.darden.virginia.edu. Checked 14 October 2026.
  4. Preparing for the (non-existent?) future of work | Brookings brookings.edu. Checked 14 October 2026.
  5. Generative AI for Economic Research: Use Cases and Implications for Economists - American Economic Association aeaweb.org. Checked 14 October 2026.
  6. Scenarios for the Transition to AGI arxiv.org. Checked 14 October 2026.
  7. UVA Darden’s Anton Korinek Named to TIME’s List of Most Influential People in AI news.darden.virginia.edu. Checked 14 October 2026.
  8. The Economic Scenarios of Transformative AI: A Wide Range of Possibilities for Jobs and GDP by 2030 news.darden.virginia.edu. Checked 14 October 2026.
  9. Anton Korinek | PIIE piie.com. Checked 14 October 2026.
  10. Introducing The Anthropic Institute anthropic.com. Checked 14 October 2026.